Certor

Hoffenheim – Mainz

Bundesliga · November 26, 2023

Hoffenheim 1–1 Mainz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Hoffenheim 50% X · 25% 2 · Mainz 25%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals1.87 – 1.28
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 24, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.