Certor

Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · March 3, 2024

Hoffenheim 2–1 Werder Bremen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Hoffenheim 53% X · 24% 2 · Werder Bremen 23%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals1.96 – 1.24
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 2, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.