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Holstein Kiel – Dortmund

Bundesliga · January 14, 2025

Holstein Kiel 4–2 Dortmund

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Holstein Kiel 14% X · 17% 2 · Dortmund 69%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Both teams to score68%
Expected goals1.26 – 2.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 10, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.