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Holstein Kiel – Freiburg

Bundesliga · May 10, 2025

Holstein Kiel 1–2 Freiburg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Holstein Kiel 33% X · 25% 2 · Freiburg 42%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score69%
Expected goals1.64 – 1.86
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 10, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.