Certor

Holstein Kiel – Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · January 18, 2025

Holstein Kiel 1–3 Hoffenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Holstein Kiel 37% X · 22% 2 · Hoffenheim 41%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Both teams to score76%
Expected goals1.96 – 2.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 17, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.