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Holstein Kiel – St Pauli

Bundesliga · April 12, 2025

Holstein Kiel 1–2 St Pauli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Holstein Kiel 36% X · 32% 2 · St Pauli 32%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.18 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 11, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.