Certor

Inter – Atalanta

Serie A · March 14, 2026

Inter 1–1 Atalanta

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Inter 55% X · 23% 2 · Atalanta 22%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.91 – 1.12
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 14, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.