Certor

Inter – Bologna

Serie A · January 4, 2026

Inter 3–1 Bologna

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Inter 57% X · 24% 2 · Bologna 19%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.77 – 0.91
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 3, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.