Certor

Inter – Genoa

Serie A · February 28, 2026

Inter 2–0 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Inter 71% X · 19% 2 · Genoa 10%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals2.22 – 0.71
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 28, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.