Certor

Inter – Monza

Serie A · August 22, 2026

Inter 4–1 Monza

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Inter 79% X · 15% 2 · Monza 6%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals2.54 – 0.61
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 22, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.