Certor

Las Palmas – Vallecano

La Liga · May 9, 2025

Las Palmas 0–1 Vallecano

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Las Palmas 37% X · 28% 2 · Vallecano 35%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.20 – 1.18
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.