Certor

Lazio – Empoli

Serie A · October 6, 2024

Lazio 2–1 Empoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lazio 60% X · 25% 2 · Empoli 15%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.78 – 0.78
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 5, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.