Certor

Lazio – Frosinone

Serie A · December 29, 2023

Lazio 3–1 Frosinone

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lazio 66% X · 20% 2 · Frosinone 14%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals2.13 – 0.86
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 23, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.