Certor

Lazio – Monza

Serie A · February 9, 2025

Lazio 5–1 Monza

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lazio 60% X · 25% 2 · Monza 15%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals1.76 – 0.75
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 8, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.