Certor

Lazio – Napoli

Serie A · February 15, 2025

Lazio 2–2 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lazio 31% X · 29% 2 · Napoli 40%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.18 – 1.39
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 15, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.