Certor

Lazio – Napoli

Serie A · January 4, 2026

Lazio 0–2 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lazio 29% X · 29% 2 · Napoli 42%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.06 – 1.32
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 3, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.