Certor

Lazio – Parma

Serie A · April 28, 2025

Lazio 2–2 Parma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lazio 62% X · 22% 2 · Parma 16%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals2.00 – 0.92
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 27, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.