Certor

Lazio – Parma

Serie A · April 4, 2026

Lazio 1–1 Parma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lazio 58% X · 25% 2 · Parma 17%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.68 – 0.81
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 4, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.