Certor

Lazio – Roma

Serie A · September 21, 2025

Lazio 0–1 Roma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lazio 41% X · 28% 2 · Roma 31%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.43 – 1.22
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 20, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.