Certor

Lazio – Salernitana

Serie A · April 12, 2024

Lazio 4–1 Salernitana

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lazio 69% X · 20% 2 · Salernitana 11%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals2.15 – 0.74
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 6, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.