Certor

Lazio – Sassuolo

Serie A · March 9, 2026

Lazio 2–1 Sassuolo

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lazio 54% X · 24% 2 · Sassuolo 22%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.83 – 1.09
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 7, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.