Certor

Le Havre – Lorient

Ligue 1 · September 3, 2023

Le Havre 3–0 Lorient

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Le Havre 44% X · 24% 2 · Lorient 32%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams to score66%
Expected goals1.81 – 1.53
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 1, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.