Certor

Le Havre – Marseille

Ligue 1 · May 10, 2025

Le Havre 1–3 Marseille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Le Havre 19% X · 24% 2 · Marseille 57%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals0.97 – 1.84
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 10, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.