Certor

Le Havre – Montpellier

Ligue 1 · November 3, 2024

Le Havre 1–0 Montpellier

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Le Havre 36% X · 27% 2 · Montpellier 37%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.38 – 1.43
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 1, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.