Certor

Le Havre – Toulouse

Ligue 1 · March 10, 2024

Le Havre 1–0 Toulouse

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Le Havre 37% X · 30% 2 · Toulouse 33%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.24 – 1.16
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 8, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.