Certor

Le Havre – Toulouse

Ligue 1 · February 23, 2025

Le Havre 1–4 Toulouse

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Le Havre 27% X · 30% 2 · Toulouse 43%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals0.95 – 1.27
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 21, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.