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Le Havre – Toulouse

Ligue 1 · February 15, 2026

Le Havre 2–1 Toulouse

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Le Havre 31% X · 28% 2 · Toulouse 41%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.06 – 1.29
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 13, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.