Certor

Lecce – Cagliari

Serie A · September 19, 2025

Lecce 1–2 Cagliari

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lecce 34% X · 32% 2 · Cagliari 34%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals1.07 – 1.06
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 13, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.