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Lecce – Genoa

Serie A · May 24, 2026

Lecce 1–0 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lecce 30% X · 32% 2 · Genoa 38%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Both teams to score40%
Expected goals0.91 – 1.05
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 24, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.