Certor

Lecce – Sassuolo

Serie A · October 6, 2023

Lecce 1–1 Sassuolo

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lecce 30% X · 28% 2 · Sassuolo 42%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.18 – 1.43
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 30, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.