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Leeds – Brighton

Premier League · May 17, 2026

Leeds 1–0 Brighton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Leeds 35% X · 28% 2 · Brighton 37%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.35 – 1.40
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 17, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.