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Leeds – Chelsea

Premier League · December 3, 2025

Leeds 3–1 Chelsea

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Leeds 19% X · 23% 2 · Chelsea 58%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals0.97 – 1.84
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 29, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.