Certor

Leeds – Crystal Palace

Premier League · September 20, 2026

Leeds 0–0 Crystal Palace

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Leeds 44% X · 29% 2 · Crystal Palace 27%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.49 – 1.11
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 20, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.