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Leeds – Sunderland

Premier League · March 3, 2026

Leeds 0–1 Sunderland

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Leeds 43% X · 30% 2 · Sunderland 27%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.36 – 1.03
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 27, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.