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Lens – Lorient

Ligue 1 · September 5, 2026

Lens 0–1 Lorient

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lens 60% X · 23% 2 · Lorient 17%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.96 – 0.96
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 5, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.