Certor

Lens – Lyon

Ligue 1 · December 2, 2023

Lens 3–2 Lyon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lens 47% X · 26% 2 · Lyon 27%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.67 – 1.23
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 1, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.