Certor

Lens – Lyon

Ligue 1 · August 16, 2025

Lens 0–1 Lyon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lens 43% X · 26% 2 · Lyon 31%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.63 – 1.36
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 15, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.