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Lens – Marseille

Ligue 1 · November 23, 2024

Lens 1–3 Marseille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lens 42% X · 29% 2 · Marseille 29%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.35 – 1.09
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 22, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.