Lens – Monaco
Ligue 1 · February 21, 2026
Lens
2–3
Monaco
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Lens 47%
X · 25%
2 · Monaco 28%
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Expected goals | 1.66 – 1.23 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 20, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.