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Lens – Paris FC

Ligue 1 · October 19, 2025

Lens 2–1 Paris FC

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lens 56% X · 22% 2 · Paris FC 22%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.99 – 1.17
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 17, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.