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Lens – Toulouse

Ligue 1 · September 24, 2023

Lens 2–1 Toulouse

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lens 58% X · 24% 2 · Toulouse 18%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.85 – 0.94
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 22, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.