Certor

Leverkusen – Augsburg

Bundesliga · May 18, 2024

Leverkusen 2–1 Augsburg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Leverkusen 75% X · 17% 2 · Augsburg 8%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals2.64 – 0.82
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 18, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.