Certor

Leverkusen – Darmstadt

Bundesliga · September 2, 2023

Leverkusen 5–1 Darmstadt

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Leverkusen 79% X · 15% 2 · Darmstadt 6%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals2.64 – 0.67
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 1, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.