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Leverkusen – Dortmund

Bundesliga · December 3, 2023

Leverkusen 1–1 Dortmund

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Leverkusen 45% X · 24% 2 · Dortmund 31%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams to score71%
Expected goals2.01 – 1.65
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 1, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.