Certor

Leverkusen – Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · August 23, 2025

Leverkusen 1–2 Hoffenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Leverkusen 70% X · 18% 2 · Hoffenheim 12%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals2.70 – 1.12
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 22, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.