Certor

Leverkusen – M'gladbach

Bundesliga · September 21, 2025

Leverkusen 1–1 M'gladbach

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Leverkusen 68% X · 18% 2 · M'gladbach 14%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals2.63 – 1.15
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 19, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.