Certor

Leverkusen – Mainz

Bundesliga · February 28, 2026

Leverkusen 1–1 Mainz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Leverkusen 63% X · 22% 2 · Mainz 15%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals2.13 – 0.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 27, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.