Certor

Leverkusen – Stuttgart

Bundesliga · January 10, 2026

Leverkusen 1–4 Stuttgart

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Leverkusen 56% X · 23% 2 · Stuttgart 21%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams to score65%
Expected goals2.15 – 1.30
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 9, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.