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Lille – Auxerre

Ligue 1 · April 20, 2025

Lille 3–1 Auxerre

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lille 60% X · 23% 2 · Auxerre 17%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.84 – 0.86
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.