Certor

Lille – Lyon

Ligue 1 · September 28, 2025

Lille 0–1 Lyon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Lille 49% X · 24% 2 · Lyon 27%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.71 – 1.21
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 26, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.